Autori:  Bendoni, Michele; Moore, Andrew M; Molcard, Anne; Magaldi, Marcello G; Fattorini, Maria; Brandini, Carlo

Rivista: Ocean Modelling,184,102236,2023, Elsevier

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2023.102236

Abstract:

We investigated the effect of the assimilation of surface velocities from two HF-Radars (HFRs) and satellite sea surface temperature (SST) into an ocean circulation model, implemented on the North-Western Mediterranean Sea, using the ROMS 4D-Var Data Assimilation (DA) System. A three months period from September to November 2020 is analysed. A model free run is used as reference simulation to quantify the impact of the data assimilation procedure on the surface circulation. The DA framework consists of a sequence of 3-day windows during which the observations are assimilated into the model, followed by forecast simulations, starting from the last time step of the analysis run. The comparison of simulated velocities and SST against the assimilated observations shows that both forecast and analysis runs improve the solution as compared to the freerun, with error reduction up to the 47% and doubling of correlation values. If SST is not assimilated, the simulated sea surface temperature slightly degrades as a result of the DA procedure. Furthermore, we used surface velocities from Lagrangian drifters to test the model against independent observations. The results show that both the forecast and the analysis simulate surface circulation better than the free run within the areas covered by HFR observations, with error reduction ranging from 10% to 50%, and increase in correlation from 5% to more than doubled. Nevertheless, farther afield, outside the area covered by HFRs, improvements and degradations of the solution due to the DA procedure balance each other. The impact of assimilated observation on the alongshore transport of the upper 50 m is analysed along three transects adjacent to the two HFR areas and along a section in between. The transport increment is significant where the surface velocities are assimilated whereas it is negligible elsewhere. The effect of SST is to modify the velocity distribution along the transects, while keeping the transport increment unchanged. Modifications to the initial conditions have the most significant effect on the alongshore transport, whereas the corrections to boundary conditions and atmospheric forcing have different importance according to the analysed transects. The assimilation of surface velocities and SST affects more the ageostrophic component of the surface velocity field, rather than the geostrophic one.